Ivermectine

EMA advises against the use of Ivermectine for COVID-19 prevention treatment.

"Although ivermectin is generally well tolerated at doses authorised for other indications, side effects could increase with the much higher doses that would be needed to obtain concentrations of ivermectin in the lungs that are effective against the virus. Toxicity when ivermectin is used at higher than approved doses therefore cannot be excluded."

Wouldn't it be good to investigate what side effects (reactions) have been reported in EudraVigilance for Ivermectine? This chapter gives some examples of what questions could be asked to the database. Can you come up with more questions? Is Ivermectine, a product or a substance? Is it in any of the drug lists?

Is it a product?

select * from import.products where name ilike '%iverm%';
product_idname

(0 rows)

Ivermectine is not found.

Is it a substance?

select * from import.substances where name ilike '%iverm%';
substance_idname
23261IVERMECTIN

(1 row)

Results in one row and a substance_id. When we check the substance table, we find 3015 unique reports for this substance.

select
  'substance reports' as reported_on,
  count(distinct local_number)
from import.substance where substance_id = 23261;
reported_oncount
substance reports3015

(1 row)

Comparing outcome

What outcomes do the reports on the Ivermectine substance have?

select
  outcome,
  count(distinct local_number)
from
  import.substance_reaction
where substance_id = 23261 group by outcome;
outcomecount
Fatal282
Not Recovered/Not Resolved461
Not Specified4
Recovered/Resolved1661
Recovered/Resolved With Sequelae24
Recovering/Resolving350
931

How does this compare to f.i. the outcomes for the "COVID-19 MRNA VACCINE PFIZER-BIONTECH (TOZINAMERAN)"" substance?

select
  outcome,
  count(distinct local_number)
from
  import.substance_reaction
where substance_id = 42325700 group by outcome;
outcomecount
Fatal13723
Not Recovered/Not Resolved354461
Recovered/Resolved357564
Recovered/Resolved With Sequelae27910
Recovering/Resolving214203
351899

We know that there are 3015 reports on the Ivermectine substance. We know there are 1034542 reports on the Tozinameran substance with the substance_id 42325700. What is the percentage of "Fatal" outcomes for each of these substances?

  • Ivermectine: 282 / 3015 = 0.0935.. ~ 9%
  • Tozinameran: 13723 / 1034542 = 1.3264.. ~ 1%

And for "Recovered/Resolved"?

  • Ivermectine: 1661 / 3015 = 0.5509.. ~ 55%
  • Tozinameran: 357564 / 1034542 = 1.3264.. ~ 34%

We have not looked at the dates of the reports and maybe we are over generalizing. But it is interesting to break this research down further. Can you think of more advanced questions you want answered in comparing substances?

Can we find Ivermectine in the drug lists?

Is Ivermectine mentioned in any of the drug lists? Let's find out and by joining all drug_list counts for the unique number of reports.

select 
  'product'as class,
  'suspect' as list_type,
  count(distinct local_number) as count
from import.product_subject_drug_list
where drugs ilike '%iverm%'
UNION
select 
  'product'as class,
  'concomitant' as list_type,
  count(distinct local_number) as count
from import.product_concomitant_drug_list
where drugs ilike '%iverm%'
UNION
select 
  'substance'as class,
  'suspect' as list_type,
  count(distinct local_number) as count
from import.substance_subject_drug_list
where drugs ilike '%iverm%'
UNION
select 
  'substance'as class,
  'concomitant' as list_type,
  count(distinct local_number) as count
from import.substance_concomitant_drug_list
where drugs ilike '%iverm%';
classlist_typecount
substancesuspect2993
substanceconcomitant695
productsuspect51
productconcomitant136

There are mentions in the drug lists. It would be good to relate them back to substances and products.